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Taiwan Business Indicators in September 2013

Taiwan Business Indicators in September 2013
Press Release
Council for Economic Planning and Development, Executive Yuan
October 28, 2013
In September 2013, the Taiwan Business Indicators showed the economic recovery to remain on the slower track. Among the indicators compiled by the Cabinet’s Council for Economic Planning and Development (CEPD), the trend-adjusted leading index increased by 0.33%, the trend-adjusted coincident index increased by 0.01% from the previous month, and the overall monitoring indicator flashed the "yellow-blue" signal.
1. Leading Indicators: With revised data, the composite leading index stood at 103.57, up by 0.45% from August 2013. Its trend-adjusted index increased by 0.33% to 101.21. Among the seven indicators making up the trend-adjusted index, building permits, the index of export orders, net accession rate of employees on payrolls of industry and services, real monetary aggregates M1B, and TAIEX average closing price had positive cyclical movements from the previous month, while SEMI book-to-bill ratio and the TIER manufacturing sector composite indicator had negative cyclical movements.
2. Coincident Indicators: With revised data, the coincident index stood at 101.26, up by 0.13% from August 2013. Its trend-adjusted index increased by 0.01% to 98.95. Among the seven indicators making up the trend-adjusted index, the index of producer’s shipment for manufacturing and the industrial production index had positive cyclical movements from the previous month, while nonagricultural employment, real machineries and electrical equipments imports, real customs-cleared exports, electric power consumption, and sales of trade and food services had negative cyclical movements.
3. Lagging Indicators: With revised data, the lagging index stood at 100.51, down by 0.44% from August 2013. Its trend-adjusted index decreased by 0.56% to 98.22. All six indicators making up the trend-adjusted index had negative cyclical movements from previous month, which were the inventories to sales ratio for manufacturing, the manufacturing unit output labor cost index, the unemployment rate (inverted), regular employees on payrolls in industry and services, the interbank overnight call-loan rate, and loans and investments of monetary financial institutions.
4. The Monitoring Indicators: The total score in August was adjusted upward by one point to 20, following the revision of the index of producer’s shipment for manufacturing. The total score in September dropped by one point to 19, flashing the “yellow-blue” signal for the third month. Among the nine components, customs-cleared exports and the index of producer’s shipment for manufacturing each lost one point and changed its individual light signal from "yellow-blue" to " blue". Imports of machineries and electrical equipments gained one point to change its individual light signal from “yellow-blue” to “green”. The light signals for the rest of six components remained unchanged.
~~ The next release is scheduled for November 27 2013 ~~
 


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