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Taiwan Business Indicators in October 2013

Taiwan Business Indicators in October 2013
Press Release
Council for Economic Planning and Development, Executive Yuan
November 27, 2013
In October 2013, the Taiwan Business Indicators showed the economic recovery to remain on the slower track. Among the indicators compiled by the Cabinet’s Council for Economic Planning and Development (CEPD), the trend-adjusted leading index increased by 0.34%, the trend-adjusted coincident index increased by 0.01% from the previous month, and the overall monitoring indicator flashed the "yellow-blue" signal.
1. Leading Indicators: With revised data, the composite leading index stood at 103.76, up by 0.45% from September 2013. Its trend-adjusted index increased by 0.34% to 101.39. Among the seven indicators making up the trend-adjusted index, building permits, the index of export orders, net accession rate of employees on payrolls of industry and services, TAIEX average closing price, and real monetary aggregates M1B had positive cyclical movements from the previous month, while the TIER manufacturing sector composite indicator and SEMI book-to-bill ratio had negative cyclical movements.
2. Coincident Indicators: With revised data, the coincident index stood at 101.37, up by 0.11% from September 2013. Its trend-adjusted index increased by 0.01% to 99.06. Among the seven indicators making up the trend-adjusted index, the index of producer’s shipment for manufacturing, sales of trade and food services, and the industrial production index had positive cyclical movements from the previous month, while electric power consumption, real customs-cleared exports, nonagricultural employment, and real machineries and electrical equipments imports had negative cyclical movements.
3. Lagging Indicators: With revised data, the lagging index stood at 100.33, down by 0.36% from September 2013. Its trend-adjusted index decreased by 0.47% to 98.04. All six indicators making up the trend-adjusted index had negative cyclical movements from previous month, which were the inventories to sales ratio for manufacturing, the manufacturing unit output labor cost index, the unemployment rate (inverted), regular employees on payrolls in industry and services, loans and investments of monetary financial institutions, and the interbank overnight call-loan rate.
4. The Monitoring Indicators: The total score in September was adjusted upward by one point to 20, following the revision of the sales of trade and food services. The total score in October remained at 20, flashing the “yellow-blue” signal for the fourth month. Among the nine components, TAIEX average closing price gained one point to change its individual light signal from “green” to “yellow-red”. The TIER manufacturing sector composite indicator lost one point to change its individual light signal from “green” to “yellow-blue”. The light signals for the rest of seven components remained unchanged.
~~ The next release is scheduled for December 27 2013 ~~
 


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    1. Taiwan Business Indicators in October 2013 (PDF)
    2. Taiwan Business Indicators in October 2013 (Word)
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